2014年10月

2014加州大选展望 (6) AD16的最后冲刺 (Catharine Baker)

catherine_baker

By Henry Yang
10/31/2014

九月中,一向傲慢自大的AD16民主党候选人Tim Sbranti的竞选阵营忽然发生了异动。大笔捐款快速流向Sbranti的竞选账户,报纸和电台广告铺天盖地而来。初选中依靠工会等特殊利益集团花费数百万美元抹黑对手而挤入大选的Sbranti,摇身一变在各电台大作广告:“最近,特殊利益集团花巨款支持我的竞选对手。对此我很不高兴!”一副清纯无辜的模样。

我诧异了:不是说社区大佬们都认定共和党候选人Catharine Baker大选一定会败下来么?民主党人为什么不跟社区大佬多沟通,而在这胡乱花钱?钱太多烧的?

几天后终于有了答案:原来不久前权威民意调查机构PSB的最新报告显示,AD16两党候选人支持率打成平手。而当被调查人全面了解两位候选人的政见之后,Baker的支持率大幅领先。

难怪Sbranti阵营如惊弓之鸟,在风中凌乱。

而这仅仅是开始。

9月24日,一向亲民主党的湾区最有影响的报纸San Francisco Chronicle打破常规,背书Baker。

10月6日,AD16的激战引起了全美发行量最大的报纸华尔街日报的关注。

10月15日,Sbranti初选的最大民主党内竞争对手Steve Glazer, 在Facebook上发长文全面赞扬Baker的各项政见。

10月17日,前民主党参议院领袖Gloria Romero 跨党背书Baker。

这一连串意外的喜讯,就像一阵阵汹涌翻滚的巨浪,有力撞击着民主党在湾区那貌似坚固的堤防。

加州民主党陷入了彻底慌乱,手忙脚乱来挽救Sbranti的竞选。每天都有大笔巨款以前所未见的速度打入Sbranti阵营,使其短短几天一跃成为整个加州众议院民主党第二大资金投入选区。然而,透过民主党机器的疯狂运转,我看到了他们眼中的极度惊恐。

当大选进入最后冲刺阶段,两党在AD16全面决战。这是一场理念和金钱的较量,草根和工会的对决。这场决战的意义绝不仅仅局限于AD16本身,而和我们每一个人的利益息息相关,因为AD16的议员将参与州一级的法案包括SCA5的表决。如果Catharine Baker获胜,AD16的冲击波将横扫湾区,覆盖加州,震撼加州政坛。

在这异常激烈的竞选形势下,草根的力量举足轻重。从来没有哪个时刻,每一张轻盈的选票份量都如此沉重;从来没有哪个时刻,每一个受蔑视的个人汇聚成的力量象这样让对手胆颤。就在这个周末,南湾的许多朋友将挥师北伐,和AD16的朋友一起为Baker助选催票。湾区各地的朋友,请加入我们最后的决战。这不仅仅是帮助AD16,更是帮助我们自己。美丽的加州,绝不允许一党独大胡作非为;智慧的湾区,绝不允许被主张制度性种族歧视的政党所垄断。2014年1月30日加州参议院通过SCA5的那个黑暗时刻,必须在11月4日的大选中彻底清算。

不论最后的选举结果如何,我们那英勇的抗击,必将化为旧金山湾区这片土地上长久回荡的传奇。

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California 11/4 Election Cheat Sheet

APAPA/UAAFA选民注册义工活动总结兼招募大选最后催票义工

uaafa

APAPA/UAAFA合作开展针对圣塔克拉拉县亚裔的选民注册活动自三月底开展以来,在初选和大选前各两个月的几乎每个周末在Santa Clara County境内的Palo Alto, Mountain View, Sunnyvale, Cupertino, Saratoga, Milpitas的多个华人超市/图书馆/老年中心/农夫市场/教会/中文学校/游园会开展选民注册的摆摊活动。一共有近60位义工(含14位高中生义工)参加了选民注册的摆摊活动,现场帮助填写近三百位亚裔新选民(华人为主),分发近千份选民注册表格给有意成为选民的亚裔公民,接触近万人次宣传选民注册及投票的促投工作。义工们为这些成绩付出了共七八百小时的辛苦劳动,尤其值得指出的是,后期加入的华人第二代中学生义工的认真努力不输成年人,Palo Alto的中学生义工们冒着90度的高温在永和前摆摊换来十来个新选民,Cupertino的三位女中学生在两个小区挨家挨户询问得来二十多个新选民,看到这些都让人感动欣慰不已。在此对以下义工的辛苦劳动表示感谢!

成年义工:

Bear, A. Chen, Clover, C. Cheng, P. Cong, M. Du, H. Fu, Y. Guo, Jess, J. Jiang, J. Jin, K. Kuo, A. Li, J. Lin, C. Liu, S. Liu, S. Liu, Y. Liu, A. Lu, A. Wang, S. Wang, X. Wang, Y. Wang, J. Xiao, D. Xie, M. Xie, D. Xu, X. Xu, A. Yang, J. Yang, K. Yang, M. Yang, S. Yuan, C. Zhang, J. Zhang, J. Zhang, O. Zhang, Y. Zhang, Y. Zhao, Y. Zhao, K. Zheng, X. Zheng, L. Zhou, R. Zhu, M. Zhu

中学生义工:

A. Chang, J. Dai, N. Gao, S. Huang, B. Li, S. Lu, M. Rao, A. Lee, J. Lee, G. Wang, A. Zhang, J. Zhang, N. Zhang, B. Zhu

离11月4日大选还有一个周末,我们义工会一如既往的在南湾超市及图书馆门口摆摊,展开最后催票工作,也希望有更多的人加入我们的行列,为提高今年华人选民的投票率做最后努力。只有华人投票率提高了,华人的力量才能得以凝聚,主流才能重视我们。有意加入最后催票义工的请于下个链接报名(每小时的义工会有$10 Gift Card补贴)。

11/1-11/2周末催票义工招募表: http://goo.gl/YcWXlx

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2014加州大选展望 (5) 万众瞩目南加州

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By Henry Yang
Date: 10/27/2014

这一天终于即将到来——长达七个多月的不懈助选,无数的牺牲和放弃,汗水和足迹,都将在这一天换来收获。我们孩子的未来,税收和其他重要法案,整个加州的政治生态,都与这次选举结果紧密相连。所有的目光,都注视着这个日子:2014年11月4日美国选举日。

而在那一天争夺最激烈,最有可能决定整个加州议会选战结果的十个选区,七个来自南加洛杉矶周边(SD34, SD32, AD36, AD40, AD44, AD65, AD66),两个来自Central Valley(SD12, SD14),一个来自旧金山湾区(AD16)。

由于选区重划,在参议院共和党只要再净增一席,就能打破民主党的绝对多数。共和党的主攻目标集中在Janet Nguyen所在的SD34选区,辅攻目标是SD32;但同时共和党必须守住Andy Vidak所在的SD14,和Anthony Cannella的SD12选区。

SD14是参议院之战共和党的斯大林格勒。Andy Vidak一旦失守,战局将非常危险。在这个民主党和共和党注册选民为49%对29%的中谷深蓝选区,共和党人Andy Vidak 2013年特殊选举的胜利是一个奇迹。今年这个奇迹必须延续。保卫Andy Vidak,是中谷正在上演的一场史诗般的大剧。

SD34则是共和党的诺曼底登陆。一旦从民主党手中夺取SD34并保住SD14,共和党的前景一片光明。这个选区民主党注册选民领先四个百分点,但中期选举之年民主党选民较低投票率可以弥补这一缺陷。共和党人Orange County Supervisor Janet Nguyen对阵民主党前州众议员,双方目前正惨烈激战,一片焦土。

SD12 现任共和党议员Anthony Cannella虽然同样面临非常不利的选民组成,但对手背景较差资金缺乏,如不出意料将能顺利保住。

如果以上三个选区任何一个失守,共和党只能寄希望SD32 Mario A. Guerra或其他选区(包括SD10 Peter Kuo),参议院战局将处于逆境。

众议院之战形势扑朔迷离。共和党必须净增两席才能打破民主党的绝对多数。最有希望从民主党手中夺取的选区是AD36, AD65, AD66和我们的AD16, 但共和党同时要守住现有选区AD40和AD44。六个选区中必须赢得四席。

根据注册选民比例,候选人背景,初选结果和筹款数额来分析,AD40的共和党人Marc Steinorth略占上风,如不出意外将能守住这一关键选区。但另一共和党现有选区AD44则不那么乐观,Rob McCoy正在全力抵御民主党人的疯狂进攻。

而在现有民主党选区中,AD36和AD65两党都重金投入,激烈厮杀。共和党人Tom Lackey和Young Kim能否不负众望从民主党现任议员手中夺回两年前共和党丢掉的席位,将成为本次选举最大的悬念。

共和党只有一举囊括以上四个席位,才能在众议院打破民主党的绝对多数。如果任何一区失利,AD16 Catharine Baker和AD66 David Hadley将成为最大的希望。AD32 Pedro A. Rios,AD57 Rita Topalian和AD28 Chuck Page也许会带来惊喜,但他们目前都严重缺乏资金,且注册选民比例落后较多。

面对如此众多的激战选区,一向被忽视的华裔选民将不容再被忽视。在这大选的最后冲刺阶段,在北加湾区,SVCA和其他草根组织及义工在全力辅助AD16 Catharine Baker的同时,也在帮助其他州议会,市议会和学区委员候选人;在南加,The Orange Club (TOC)持续数月的助选橙浪继续翻涌,Mei Mei Huff的电话中心将理性的选择辐射到整个加州,其他华人组织也热情参政。各地草根们的积极行动,标志着加州华人的政治觉醒,并预示着今年的中期选举不再是一次普通的选举,这将是我们的选举,和我们的使命。

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California 11/4 Election Cheat Sheet:

http://www.chineseamerican.org/2014/10/15/california-election-cheat-sheet/

2014加州大选展望 (4) 历史一刻Ling-Ling Chang (AD55)

calirfornia_vote

By Henry Yang
9/21/2014

2014年2月25日,在抗击SCA5最艰难最黑暗的日子里 ,我们听到了来自南加的声音,坚定而清晰:"I strongly oppose SCA 5 because I believe hard work and merit count. I urge my fellow Californians to contact their state Assemblymember today, encouraging them to vote no to defeat this legislation."。Assembly District 55的共和党候选人,Diamond Bar City Council Member Ling-Ling Chang的这篇宣言,给了当时正在苦战的草根力量们极大的精神鼓励,也让她和Peter Kuo一起,成为最早一批反对SCA5的州议员候选人。随后,越来越多的政治力量加入反SCA5阵营,最终导致其在众议院的崩溃。Ling-Ling Chang在最困难的历史一刻对草根力量的支持,让我们至今铭刻于心。

一晃半年多就过去了,SCA5众议院阻击战已经硝烟散尽。但我们又站在了另一个历史时刻的边缘:再过六个星期,如果不出意外,Ling-Ling Chang将成为加州历史上第一个华裔女性共和党众议员。她也将成为继Tom Hom之后45年来第一个华裔共和党议员。

面对AD55的选民数据,顿时感觉天空晴朗,阳光明媚,完全没有湾区这里沉重的阴霾。这个选区位于洛杉矶附近,登记选民中白人约占45%,,亚裔26%,大约和西非裔总数相当,但共和党注册选民领先民主党八个百分点:39.7% : 31.3%,是加州为数不多的常识和理智占优势的选区之一。这次反击SCA5的领袖,参议院共和党领导人Bob Huff所在的参议院选区,很大一部分与AD55重叠。

但是选民的优势不一定能自动保证共和党人的当选,一个资质优异的候选人也非常关键。所幸AD55在初选三名共和党候选人的激战中选出了最优秀的Ling-Ling Chang,与民主党人在即将到来的11月大选中对决。Ling-Ling Chang从小自台湾移居美国,依靠自己的奋斗努力而不是政府的施舍恩赐,正一步步实现她的美国梦。年仅38岁的Ling-Ling,已经就任过Diamond Bar的巿长和议员,及其他重要公职。她主张低税率和平衡预算,鼓励父母参与孩子的教育,反对提早释放监狱犯人,在事关美国前途的非法移民问题上,她强调要守住边境,这与民主党政客们敞开双臂欢迎非法移民的立场形成鲜明对比。

在6月的初选中,Ling-Ling Chang以第一名出线,三名共和党人共获73.5%的选票,大选的形势非常乐观。尽管如此,美国政治选举的形势经常是瞬息万变,跌宕起伏,两党在AD55的注册率相差并不悬殊,民主党在大选中的催票能力不容低估。相信经历过初选激战磨砺的Ling-Ling, 定能在大选中重视对手,全力以赴,创造历史。

如果Ling-Ling如期当选,其意义将超越族裔与性别。长期以来,民主党一直以少数族裔的代言人自居,但SCA5彻底戳破了这一神话。而Ling-Ling及其他亚裔候选人的当选,将为加州共和党注入崭新的血液,展示反思改进后的共和党的开放与包容,从而吸引更多亚裔选民和政坛人物拥抱共和党的理念,打破加州一党独大,不受制约的歧形政治格局。

就在这历史一刻的前夜,9月26日晚,Ling-Ling Chang将来到湾区,和Peter Kuo一起参加为他们举办的联合筹款会。这将是继不久前Barry Chang Campaign Kickoff Event后湾区华人参政议政的又一次盛会。两名华人共和党新秀携手登台,一起冲刺加州议员职位,标志着华人参政的深度与广度。届时参议院共和党领袖Bob Huff及太太Mei Mei Huff, Republican National Committee CTO Andy Barkett和其他共和党重量级人物也将前来助阵。湾区的美女帅哥义工们还会奉献出精彩的表演。这将是一场充满欢声笑语,新老朋友相聚相识,共叙友情的晚会。加入这场晚会,支持Ling-Ling Chang和Peter Kuo的竞选,你将不仅是这历史一刻的目击者,更是这历史一刻的推动者。

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Ling Ling Chang和Peter Kuo联合筹款会:

https://www.facebook.com/events/475012899305181/?ref_dashboard_filter=upcoming

Ling-Ling Chang竞选网页:http://www.ling4assembly.com

Peter Kuo竞选网页:http://www.kuoforsenate.com

Election Recommendations

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By Dr. Albert Wang
Date: 10/30/2014




California Constitutional Office:

Governor– Jerry Brown

Has done a good job balancing the budget.  Independent thinking and careful with fiscal issues.

Lt Governor– no recommendation

Attorney General – Kamala Harris

Active in promoting minority rights.  Part Asian heritage.

Controller – Betty Yee

Know her personally.  Very smart and knows fiscal issues well.  “Good person” and not willing to listen to all sides of the story.

Treasurer – John Chiang

The bright star of the Chinese American community.  Has done a great job as Controller, not afraid to challenge the status quo.

Secretary of State – no recommendation

State Superintendent of Education– Marshall Tuck

Reformer willing to at least try to fix some of the structural problems in our education system.




State Legislature

AD 25 – Kansen Chu

My own district.  Has known Kansen for 20 years.  Rose through the ranks of Berryessa School Board, SJ City Council, and has built strong relationships with the political establishment.  Solid and hard working person.  Will be the first Chinese American who is not raised in the US to get to the state level.
Local Elections:

Fremont City Council – Lily Mei and Raj Salwan

Lily is a careful thinker and holds a balanced view.  Has worked very hard and done a good job as school board member.

Raj has been involved in Fremont all his life.  Also willing to think independently.  Has a bright future.

Fremont Unified School District Trustee – Yang Shao and Larry Sweeney

Shao is analytical, intelligent, and can represent to view of Chinese American families which comprise a large portion of FUSD students.  Will provide a balance of ideology on the school board.

Larry is the most experienced member on the board.  He was instrumental in starting the Mandarin Immersion Program in FUSD several years ago.  It shows his understanding of our community and the willingness to work with everyone.

Cupertino City Council – Barry Chang and Don Sun

Barry has spoken for Chinese American issues all his political career.  He will continue to advocate for us.

Don has spent years participating in both the Chinese American and mainstream communities.  He has put in his time and effort and shown his ability to work with both sides.   Planning Commission experience provides solid background in development issues.  He is from mainland China, an under-represented community in Cupertino.

Cupertino Union School District Trustee – Chris Zhang and Kristen Pan Lyn

Chris has been involved in the community in many aspect over the years and shows his dedication to serve the community.  Born in China but grew up here, giving him bi-cultural advantage to understand both education systems.

Kristen has shown interested in education and is intelligent and fair-minded.  She has strong financial background, very important in understanding school budget.  CUSD is a “low wealth district” and every penny must be used wisely.

Saratoga City Council – Yan Zhao (Do not know Emily Lo well but appears to be a good candidate as well)

I have known Yan for over a decade and have seen her volunteer in all aspect of the community, Chinese and mainstream.  She is well respected in the non-Chinese community as well with her Planning Commission role and volunteer work.  She is well qualified.  She is also from mainland China, under-represented in government.




State Propositions:

Measure 1 – Water bond  - Neutral

Fairly good projects that include some new storage facilities, important especially in a drought year like this.  Some possible controversial projects may take water from Northern to Southern California.  Cost is very high, taking funding from other state needs for decades.

Measure 2 – Increase Rainy Day Fund – Support

All of us know the importance of saving during good times to help cover needs during bad times.  State of California has not been doing that and needs to start.  This measure will increase the allowed amount of funds set aside for such.  A strong support!

Proposition 45 – Health Insurance Premium Control by State Insurance Commissioner – You decide

State Insurance Commissioner already has this power for other types of insurance (ie auto, etc).  This measure will extend this power to cover health insurance.  It will provide more transparency on insurance premium.  It will also give more power to the political system.  My sense is that if you believe the free market system works well in health insurance, you should oppose it.  If you think the market can be manipulated by a few large insurance companies, you should support it.

Proposition 46 – Malpractice Award increase, Testing Doctors for drugs, etc. – you decide

Although there are 3 points in this proposition, it is really about increase the “pain and suffering” part of award from a limit of $250k to about $1.1 million.  Other “economic damage”, such as medical care cost, lost wages, etc, are not limited.  The $250k limit was set back in the 1970’s and, in my opinion, is low.  But increasing it immediately to $1.1 will no doubt drive up medical cost.  Question here is whether you are willing to pay higher health care cost so those injured and their lawyers can get higher compensation?  If you do, vote yes.  If not, vote no.

Proposition 47 – Reduce Non-violent  Crime to Misdemeanor, without jail sentence – Soft Support

California prisons are over crowded and cost to lock up inmate is very high.  This proposition allows non-violent (such as drug possession, etc) crimes offenders to avoid prison sentence.  Result is savings to the state that can be used elsewhere.  Downside is that some petty criminals will be set loose and may repeat their offense.

Proposition 48 – Indian casino pact validation – oppose

The extra revenue is not worth the problems casinos will generate.